If I were still an Ontario Progressive Conservative, the only sitting MPP I would consider supporting for a leadership bid is Elizabeth Witmer. And, by all reports, she is not running.
I also wonder if a darling of the Blue Tory camp gets selected leader and should the PCs lose the next election, how many will be calling for a 80% leadership approval rate in 2012? If I were supporting a candidate for the Conservative party leadership, I would ask that question of the candidate as a condition of my support; would they step down if they do not receive an 80% approval rate in the convention following an election loss? After all, it was all the rage the last time the party tried to oust John Tory.